By Sheila Copps
First published in The Hill Times on October 22, 2018.

OTTAWA—Canada made history last week, becoming only the second country in the world to sell legal cannabis.

And judging by long lineups on the first day of sale, the decision was a long time coming.

Marijuana distributers are predicting shortages for several months as product has been flying off the shelves in provinces with storefront points of sale.

In others, like Canada’s largest province of Ontario, the internet was deluged with orders. Shopify Inc. reported it had sold millions of units in the first 12 hours.

Government revenues will be robust from this new source of taxation and international business consortiums are already eying the export market.

All in all, the first day of legal pot sales could be qualified as a success.

So why were some politicians jumping over each other to stir the pot, as it were?

Ontario Premier Doug Ford, the only leader who is alleged to have peddled weed in his past life, took a huge public dump on Prime Minister Justin Trudeau at a policing conference.

Ford got a round of tepid applause when he accused the prime minister of going into the witness protection program when it came to the launch.

Newly-minted Quebec Premier François Legault is sticking to his promise to hike the legal consumption age to 21.

Surveys show that, surprisingly, Quebec is the most conservative province when it comes to support for the legalization process.

Nova Scotia and British Columbia were vying for top pot consumption spot with the East Coast slightly edging out the West Coast in the score on regular use.

The figures, released on the eve of legalization, claim that almost one-quarter of Canadians in those two provinces are already regular consumers of the drug.

The province with the lowest level of regular consumption is Quebec. But judging by the lineups at the provincial pot stores, maybe they just don’t like to answer national surveys.

The most controversial future issues will be who gets to sell, rather than who gets to buy.

With players like former prime minister Brian Mulroney serving on cannabis corporate boards, the little weed has indeed arrived.

Notwithstanding Ford’s initial blowback, the financial benefits of legal pot will soon have him changing his tune.

With such a large portion of the population already engaged in cannabis consumption, legalization will get the drug out of the shadows.

No longer will buyers have to come up with medical reasons to avoid getting their recreational drug of choice from the local schoolyard pusher. The medical profession will be largely relieved of its dispensary responsibility.

The long arm of organized crime is about to be amputated, and that is a good thing. We can finally have a logical discussion in this country about how to manage the multiple challenges of drug use.

The opioid crisis, largely driven by the sale of illegal pills to unsuspecting young party-goers could be a thing of the past as consumers can now go to a legal distribution centre to purchase their regulated drug of choice.

Of course, we will now witness a spate of stories about the impacts of marijuana when consumed by young people whose brains are still being formed.

While that is undoubtedly a medical fact, the same statement could be made about alcohol consumption.

Any substance that alters your metaphysical state runs certain risks. But those risks can be mitigated by public information, discussion, and education.

It was pretty hard to have an informed classroom drug discussion when we were dealing with an illegal substance.

Canadian legalization will also unleash a vigorous international debate about new approaches to the failed war on drugs.

Warlords in Latin America and opioid manufacturers in Asia depend on clients in North America.

As long as weed was illegal, the lucrative business of importing and distributing was financially beneficial to crime syndicates.

Now Canada can be an incubator for a new approach to substitute for interdiction. We will witness firsthand whether legal sales can undercut the underground.

With the initial rollout behind us, the federal Liberals can also breathe a little easier.

The promise of legalized cannabis was one of the factors that encouraged droves of young people to get out and vote for Trudeau in the last campaign.

His success or failure in the next campaign will depend on just how many promises have been kept or broken.

Legal pot is one promise with benefits. Communities and government coffers will both prosper as a result of this world-breaking government decision.

Toke on, Canada.

Sheila Copps is a former Jean Chrétien-era cabinet minister and a former deputy prime minister. Follow her on Twitter at @Sheila_Copps.

By SHEILA COPPS

First published on Monday, July 24, 2017 in The Hill Times.

OTTAWA—The pot thickens.

The provincial ministers annual summer gabfest handed the prime minister a gift he could not refuse.

A political pot fight is just what Justin Trudeau needs to shore up his left flank.

Traditional New Democratic voters across the country fled their party to support the Liberals in the last election.

Some simply could not stomach the possibility of another term of Conservative government under Stephen Harper. They voted Liberal to block the Tories.

Others liked Liberal promises, including the pot legalization proposal and the claim that the current electoral system had run its course and would be replaced before the next election.

Promise No. 2 has been shelved indefinitely. When the parliamentary committee, chaired by the opposition, delivered a split decision on the matter, the governing Liberals abandoned any changes.

It was an open secret that the prime minister did not favour proportional voting, and would have preferred a change to a ranked ballot electoral change. When the committee excluded that option, the Liberals decided to make an early break from the well-publicized promise that, “We are committed to ensuring that the 2015 election will be the last federal election using first-past-the-post.”

The Trudeau team was banking on the fact that the electoral reform promise really only appealed to a narrow group of voters, mostly those who were already committed to their party of choice and unlikely to switch allegiance.

The pot promise, on the other hand, taps into a broad swathe of millennial voters whose recreational vice of choice is marijuana.

That younger voting cohort is spread across the country, and very motivated to punish any party that stands in the way of the legalization timetable.

It was not surprising that the proposal by the government of Manitoba to delay implementation was met with little support from most of the premiers.

The premiers’ framing of unresolved issues was also fairly revealing. Saskatchewan Premier Brad Wall, usually the most Conservative of premiers, appeared more concerned about revenue stream details than the safety issues emphasized by his only Conservative counterpart, Manitoba Premier Brian Pallister.

“Labelling, public health, who’s selling it, what’s the split, road safety—there is a great deal of issues here,” Wall said.

Despite public claims of fear for safety, the real issues seem to revolve around what jurisdictions will manage distribution and who benefits financially.

Road safety issues can be challenged because, presumably, today’s highways are already crawling with pot-smoking drivers currently securing their product illegally. There is scant evidence that legalization measures will promote a spike in the number of users or potential pothead drivers on the road.

There is evidence that the regulation and distribution decisions will be an economic boon to governments, and the provinces want to solidify their bargaining power in an effort to claim a bigger share of the literal pot.

Premier Brian Gallant of New Brunswick characterized the legalization as an “economic opportunity.”

And he is right. The biggest fight revolves around the splits, which is why some cities are already making noises that they need to be compensated directly for the costs associated with legalization.

That approach ignores any costs associated with the current system. The rational behind legalizing pot is to break the monopoly currently enjoyed by criminals, who upsell their young clients to encourage more addicts and include deadly pills in their repertoire of sales items. Legalization should save money in the long term.

The popularity of marijuana use was not lost on premiers. Manitoba stood alone in its demand for an immediate delay in the implementation timetable.

The rest kept that option open but left enough wiggle room for the federal Liberals to drive a truck through.

Trudeau will be the lead driver. He would love nothing better than a fight with any premier who attempts to delay the implementation date.

That fight would simply solidify Liberal support amongst wavering voters who are disappointed in the government’s reversal on first-past-the post changes.

It could provide a direct foil to NDP premiers in Alberta and British Columbia, who cannot afford to fight too hard against the Canada Day deadline next year.

Most Liberal premiers were guarded in their response to Premier Pallister’s proposal for delay. They were tepid in public statements but did leave the door open to potential delay, if the negotiations hit an impasse.

If money is the only sticking point, premiers cannot afford to overplay their hand for fear of a voter backlash.

The premiers delivered Trudeau a battle royal.

Sheila Copps is a former Jean Chrétien-era cabinet minister and a former deputy prime minister. Follow her on Twitter at @Sheila_Copps.